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Pressure on ECB to deliver QE in January - RBS

FXStreet (Bali) - The benign growth picture keeps the pressure on the ECB to ease further as soon as their late January meeting, notes RBS FX Strategy Team.

Key Quotes

"The revisions to the December EU composite PMI this morning revealed a slightly lower pickup in activity in December than previously estimated. The benign growth picture keeps the pressure on the ECB to ease further as soon as their late January meeting, and the composite CPI estimate for December is the key data release in the Euro-area this week."

"We expect headline inflation to turn negative in December - our EU Rates Research team’s live inflation tracker, available on RINF go on Bloomberg, shows 0.08%. ECB’s Draghi said in his December press conference that the ECB would consider altering its asset purchases “early next year.” Outright deflation may be enough to pull forward expectations for QE more firmly into January."

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