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Flash: A look at the Euro - Scotiabank

FXstreet.com (Bali) - According to Camilla Sutton, CFA, CMT, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, EUR should remain resilient near term.

Key Quotes

"EUR was strong, initially rallying on better than expected German IFO (risingto 108.9—a two‐plus year high) and an encouraging German growth outlook from the Bundesbank; however gains were short lived and EUR is entering the week essentially where it closed on Friday."

"The highlight this week will be Friday’s CPI estimate for January, expected to rise to 0.9% y/y on both headline and core. Any disappointment will put the ECB in a position to launch a more aggressive monetary policy."

"This weekend, President Draghi suggested (see FT article in Suggested Readings) that the ECB would consider quantitative easing, potentially with the ECB buying packages of private sector bank loans. This would be Euro‐Area positive; but should provide a weight to EUR."

NZD/USD posts small gains, holds above 0.8200

The NZD/USD finished Monday with gains after falling in the previous four trading days. During Monday's Asian session traded momentarily under 0.8200 and bounced quickly back above, gaining momentum.
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Flash: This month's events not a trigger for sustainable risk off environment - JPMorgan

According to Jan Loeys, Strategist at JP Morgan, traders should not get carried away by the increase in FX volatility, noting this month's events are unlikely to trigger sustainable gains on risk-off trades.
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