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11 Feb 2014
Flash: Not expecting a hike until late 2015 – NAB
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at The National Australia Bank said they are not expecting a rate hike until late 2015.
Key Quotes:
“Indeed net exports could by itself contribute around ¾% in Q4 2013. While a strong Q4 will rise the stepping off point, our fundamental outlook (especially domestic demand and unemployment) is unchanged (see table on p9)”.
“Our activity forecasts are broadly unchanged: GDP for 2013/14 now 2.7% (was 2.5%) and 2014/15 now 3.0% (unchanged). Calendar 2014 now 3% was 2.8%”.
“Unemployment rate still to peak at 6½% in late 2014. RBA expected to cut rates (25bp) for the last time in November”.
“We do not expect a rate hike until late 2015”.
Key Quotes:
“Indeed net exports could by itself contribute around ¾% in Q4 2013. While a strong Q4 will rise the stepping off point, our fundamental outlook (especially domestic demand and unemployment) is unchanged (see table on p9)”.
“Our activity forecasts are broadly unchanged: GDP for 2013/14 now 2.7% (was 2.5%) and 2014/15 now 3.0% (unchanged). Calendar 2014 now 3% was 2.8%”.
“Unemployment rate still to peak at 6½% in late 2014. RBA expected to cut rates (25bp) for the last time in November”.
“We do not expect a rate hike until late 2015”.