US: What to watch next week - NBF

According to National Bank of Canada analysts, next week key data from the US, includes: CPI, industrial production, retail sales, Empire State and Philly Fed. 

Key Quotes:

“In the U.S., the consumer price index could have risen 0.3% m/m in October, boosted by a larger-than-usual increase in gasoline prices. As a result, the year-on-year rate could climb two ticks to 2.5%. The core inflation rate, meanwhile, could have increased 0.2%, allowing the annual rate to remain unchanged at 2.2%.”

“Industrial production may have expanded for a fifth consecutive month in October, echoing an expansion of output in the manufacturing sector. A positive contribution is also expected from mining based on the increase in oil rigs operating in the country during the month.”

“Both headline and ex-auto retail sales likely expanded at a healthy clip, in line with rising auto sales and higher gasoline prices in the month. The first clues on the state of the manufacturing sector in November will also be available with the publication of the Empire State and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys. We’ll also keep an eye on the release of the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for October.”